CVR Refining, LP (CVRR): Are There Still Some Reasons For Optimism?

CVR Refining, LP (CVRR) shares saw a recent bid of $9.85 and 995.86TH shares have exchanged hands in the recent trading session, yielding a 1.55% gain over the past week. The stock price decreased -1.50% or $0.15 versus $10.00 at the end of the prior session. This change led market cap to move at $1.43B, putting the price -21.51% below the 52-week high and 79.09% above the 52-week low. The company’s stock has a normal trading capacity of 433.07K shares while the relative volume is 2.30.

To stay one step ahead we extended our research by comparing different price targets. The stock notched a 12-month high of $10.44 while $11.00 target is by far the most aggressive out of analysts who are currently evaluating the company, $0.56 higher than the next highest 52-week price estimate. The lowest 12-month price target for the shares is $10.00, which would be an increase of about 2% of its current value. The mean target of $10.25 should be compared with the price when the stock was languishing around $5.50 a share. And it remains to be seen which target price CVRR can achieve without sacrificing much as the company is holding a 1.23% gain for the past twelve months.

By historical standards, CVR Refining, LP remains a cheap stock. The company’s current price-earnings ratio amounts to 9.82 times earnings, below the average P/E ratio of 27.00 times earnings. For now, CVR Refining, LP is the toast of Wall Street as its ABR stands at 3.00 with 0 out of 10 analysts rating the stock a buy. Over the short term, some market observers may have noticed that CVR Refining, LP has a 5.18% short float with 15 days to cover. It becomes significant when you consider how many shares are shorted versus the average daily volume, means how many days to cover those short shares at that volume. CVR Refining, LP has far performed well this year, with the share price down -5.29% since January. Over the past 2 quarters, the stock is down -5.29%, compared with a fall of nearly -5.74% for 3 months and about -3.43% for the past 30 days.

Last time, the company shocked Wall Street by reporting EPS of $0.45, smashing the consensus of $-0.00 per share. Revenue for the quarter also killed consensus, coming in at $1.42B, compared to the consensus of 1.25B. Nonetheless, from here on out, earnings per share forecasts for the current quarter are $0.43. The company is expected to report EPS as high as $0.74 and as low as $0.20 per share. Similarly, full-year EPS forecasts have ranged between $0.64 and $1.50. The mean EPS estimate is $1.06. On the other side, sales forecasts for the current quarter are $1.32B. The stock is expected to report revenue as high as $1.41B and as low as $1.17B per share. Similarly, full-year sales forecasts have ranged between $4.74B and $5.48B. The mean revenue estimate is $5.1B.

Over the last 5 years, CVR Refining, LP has averaged a -35.32% YoY EPS growth rate and a -1.40% revenue growth rate. Analysts are expecting EPS growth rates to be at -94.70% this quarter and EPS estimate for next year reflect -3.35% growth rate.

Sell-side analysts also have something to say about this company. JP Morgan had a markedly different take on 09/03/2017, proposing that CVR Refining, LP is now considered Neutral versus prior Overweight rating. Goldman raised its rating on CVR Refining, LP to Neutral on 23/01/2017 in a reversal from its prior Sell rating. Credit Suisse raised its rating on CVR Refining, LP to Outperform on 09/12/2016 in a reversal from its prior Neutral rating. JP Morgan raised its rating on CVR Refining, LP to Overweight on 07/12/2016 in a reversal from its prior Neutral rating.

CVR Refining, LP (CVRR): Are There Still Some Reasons For Optimism? was last modified: June 13th, 2017 by Caleb Gerald
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